Excesso de Estoque e Custo Brasil em Previsão de Inventário
Definition
Poor forecasting for large-scale rollouts (e.g., CPFL BRL 1.2B program) causes overstock, tying up capital in warehouses with high ICMS storage taxes and eSocial labor costs for handling.
Key Findings
- Financial Impact: R$ 5-10% of project capex in excess inventory (e.g., R$ 60-120M for BRL 1.2B rollout); 20-40 hours/month manual adjustments
- Frequency: Ongoing during multi-year rollouts
- Root Cause: Manual forecasting without real-time utility schedule data integration
Why This Matters
The Pitch: Smart meter manufacturers in Brasil waste R$ 10-20M annually on excess inventory. Automation of inventory forecasting eliminates this risk.
Affected Stakeholders
Gerente de Suprimentos, Controlador de Estoque, Planejador de Produção
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Financial Impact
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Current Workarounds
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Methodology & Sources
Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.
Related Business Risks
Desvio de Inventário em Cadeia de Suprimento de Medidores
Perda de Capacidade por Gargalos em Previsão de Inventário
Rejeição NF-e por Estoque Desalinhado em Rollouts
Atraso de Lançamento (Time-to-Market) por Ciclo Regulatório Instável
Perda de Receita por Fraude em Medidores Não Calibrados
Perda de Capacidade por Gargalos em Certificação e Revalidação
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