Chronic SNAP Overpayments from Eligibility Determination Mistakes
Definition
States routinely over-issue SNAP benefits to households due to eligibility calculation errors, missed income, or late termination when households become ineligible. These overpayments are difficult and costly to collect, leading to permanent loss of public funds despite claims being established against households.
Key Findings
- Financial Impact: Of the $5.2B in SNAP overpayments identified in FY2022, only a fraction is ultimately recovered; states report cumulative outstanding SNAP recipient claims in the billions (FNS payment accuracy and recipient claim management data).
- Frequency: Daily, across all states, as part of ongoing application, change, and recertification processing
- Root Cause: Manual data entry errors, misapplication of complex deduction rules, failure to timely act on income or household composition changes, and lags in receiving wage or benefits data from other agencies all lead to over-issuance. Recovery efforts through claims, tax intercepts, or benefit reductions are slow, administratively burdensome, and often uncollectible for low‑income households.
Why This Matters
This pain point represents a significant opportunity for B2B solutions targeting Public Assistance Programs.
Affected Stakeholders
Eligibility caseworkers and supervisors, Benefits calculation and issuance staff, Claims and collections units, Federal and state SNAP financial managers, IT and data-exchange coordinators
Deep Analysis (Premium)
Financial Impact
$1.2B-$1.8B annually in state overpayments attributable to case manager calculation errors during determination • $300M-$500M annually in systematic calculation errors embedded in legacy system code; patching latency means errors propagate across thousands of cases before fix deployed • $400M-$700M annually in continued issuance to ineligible recipients during termination lag period
Current Workarounds
Coordinator checks eligibility status in legacy system but trusts case manager determination; no secondary validation; issues EBT cards based on determination without real-time income verification • Coordinator issues benefits based on case determination; redemption data flows back days/weeks later; overpayments are discovered retroactively during reconciliation cycles • Excel spreadsheets, paper worksheets, memory of prior cases, manual 4.3-week multiplier calculations for biweekly/weekly income
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Methodology & Sources
Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.
Related Business Risks
Systemic SNAP Eligibility Fraud and Trafficking Losses
Federal Sanctions and Liability for SNAP Eligibility and Issuance Errors
High Administrative Costs from Manual, Paper-Heavy SNAP Eligibility Processing
Rework and Appeals from Incorrect SNAP Eligibility Decisions
Delayed SNAP Issuance from Slow Eligibility Verification and Processing
Lost Processing Capacity from Bottlenecks in SNAP Eligibility Workflows
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