Verification Delays Preventing Credit Issuance and Revenue
Definition
Delays in the carbon credit verification process by registries and validation/verification bodies (VVBs) prevent timely issuance of credits, blocking project developers from selling and receiving payments. This creates extended time-to-cash cycles in the documentation and verification workflow. Thallo's report quantifies this as a systemic bottleneck across the voluntary carbon market (VCM), affecting scaling efforts.
Key Findings
- Financial Impact: $2.6 billion by 2030
- Frequency: Ongoing across projects - recurring delays per verification cycle
- Root Cause: Insufficient VVB capacity relative to project volume, manual processes, and bottlenecks in registries/GHG programs
Why This Matters
This pain point represents a significant opportunity for B2B solutions targeting Regenerative Design.
Affected Stakeholders
Project Developers, Validation/Verification Auditors, Registry Staff
Deep Analysis (Premium)
Financial Impact
$1,000,000+ (regulatory penalties; audit costs; public credibility loss) • $100,000-$1,000,000 per cycle (lost or delayed donations) • $100,000-$1,000,000+ (grant clawback risk; next-phase funding withheld; project shutdown costs)
Current Workarounds
Analyst and project team track verification status and cashflow exposure manually in spreadsheets and email threads, chase VVBs and registries via email/WhatsApp, and build their own ad-hoc forecast models for issuance timing in Excel and slide decks. • Email coordination with registry; spreadsheet commitment tracking; verbal updates to campus leadership • Email coordination with VVBs; manual Excel tracking of verification milestones; WhatsApp status checks with registry contacts
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Methodology & Sources
Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.
Related Business Risks
Over-Crediting from Flawed Verification Leading to Invalid Credits
Fraud Risk from Delayed and Manual Verification
Manual Verification Bottlenecks and Idle Project Capacity
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