Fehlentscheidungen bei Sortiments- und Kundenallokation in der Futures-Planung
Definition
In futures seasons, certain styles, colourways and sizes are constrained by factory MOQs and capacity. Wholesalers must decide how much of each constrained SKU to offer to different Australian retailers before having full visibility of actual store-level potential. Without integrated analytics that combine past sell-out data, door performance and margin profiles, many wholesalers default to manual pro-rata splits or politically-driven allocations. This causes two forms of financial loss: (1) high-performing doors receive insufficient inventory of winning styles, leading to lost wholesale revenue and potential competitor substitution; (2) weaker doors receive excess inventory that they cannot sell through, forcing the wholesaler into end-of-season rebates, returns or off-price clearance. In a portfolio where 20% of SKUs drive 60–70% of gross profit (a typical pattern in fashion and footwear), misallocating even 10% of those key SKUs can easily erode 1–3% of total gross profit, equivalent to AUD 100k–300k per year for a medium-sized Australian wholesaler.
Key Findings
- Financial Impact: Quantified: Approximately 1–3% of annual gross profit lost to misallocation; for a business with AUD 5m annual gross profit, this equals AUD 50k–150k per year.
- Frequency: Every pre-season and capsule allocation cycle, especially for constrained or exclusive styles.
- Root Cause: Lack of integrated account-level performance analytics; no optimisation engine for constrained SKU allocation; sales-driven decisions trumping data; absence of scenario planning for futures commitments.
Why This Matters
The Pitch: Australian footwear wholesalers 🇦🇺 routinely misallocate 5–15% of scarce styles in pre-season, which can shift hundreds of thousands of AUD in gross profit each year. Decision-support tools that optimise account-level allocations based on historic sell-out and margin can reduce these losses.
Affected Stakeholders
Sales Director, Key Account Manager, Merchandise Planner, Category Manager, GM/Managing Director
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Financial Impact
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Current Workarounds
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Methodology & Sources
Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.
Related Business Risks
Margeverluste durch Überbestände und Fehlmengen in der Vorsaisonplanung
Kostenexplosion durch Eilfrachten wegen schlechter Vorsaisonplanung
Liquiditätsbindung durch lange Vorlaufzeiten und verspätete Abrechnung
Defective Product Chargebacks
Vendor Chargeback Disputes
Premium Pricing on Drop Ship Orders
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