🇧🇷Brazil

Supercustos de Transporte por Seleção Inadequada de Composição Veicular

1 verified sources

Definition

Regional transport cost analysis reveals: Guanhães (135km distance, suboptimal bitrem use) = 27.14 R$/m³.km; Nova Era (bitrem, shorter distance) = 0.341 R$/m³.km; Rio Doce (bitrem, optimal distance) = 0.249 R$/m³.km. Tritrem deployment for long-haul achieves lowest per-unit costs. Poor distance-to-vehicle matching creates 8.6% cost premium (27.14 vs. ~25.0 optimal).

Key Findings

  • Financial Impact: Quantified: Guanhães region overages = 27.14 R$/m³.km vs. optimized 25.0 = 2.14 R$/m³.km excess. At 1,000 m³/month typical harvest = R$ 2,140 monthly loss per remote site. Multi-site operations (3-5 regions) = R$ 6,400-10,700/month aggregate overrun.
  • Frequency: Continuous; each shipment to sub-optimally matched zones incurs premium
  • Root Cause: Absence of distance-based fleet allocation algorithm; manual dispatch decisions without real-time capacity-distance optimization; static vehicle assignments ignoring seasonal demand shifts

Why This Matters

The Pitch: Wood logistics in Brasil waste 8.6% of transport budgets through wrong vehicle-type assignments. Guanhães region (135km distance) shows R$ 27.14/m³.km vs. optimal tritrem deployment at R$ 0.249/m³.km = potential savings of R$ 9,000-12,000/month per route through dynamic fleet composition.

Affected Stakeholders

Logistics planners, Fleet dispatch coordinators, Route optimization managers, Supply chain directors

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Financial Impact

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Current Workarounds

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Methodology & Sources

Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.

Evidence Sources:

Related Business Risks

Perda de Capacidade Operacional por Tempos Improdutivos no Transporte de Madeira

Quantified: 9.26% capacity loss translates to ~2.3 additional days of lost transport capacity per 25-day operational month per vehicle. At average transport rates of 0.30 R$/m³.km, a typical 25m³-capacity vehicle losing 3+ minutes per 100km trip = R$ 1,500-2,200/month per vehicle; fleet-wide impact: R$ 18,000-26,400/month for 10-vehicle operations.

Concentração de Custos Logísticos em Frete Rodoviário (até 60% do custo total)

Quantified: For 10,000 m³/year wood operator at average 100km haul: base logistics cost ~R$ 600,000/year (60 R$/m³); freight component = R$ 360,000 (60%). Shift 15% volume to hypothetical rail (20% cost reduction on shifted volume) = R$ 10,800 annual savings minimum. Larger operators (50,000 m³/year) = R$ 54,000/year opportunity.

Multa por Madeira Ilegal e Não-Conformidade com Licenças Florestais

HARD: R$28 million (~USD 8 million) in illegal timber exports documented by Interpol in 2015 (Pará State). HARD: USD 13 million penalty paid by Lumber Liquidators (2016). LOGIC: EUDR penalties: minimum 4% of operator annual turnover + product confiscation + temporary import ban.

Fraude em Autorização de Manejo Florestal e Lavagem de Madeira Ilegal

HARD: R$28 million in fraudulently obtained exports detected (Interpol 2016). LOGIC: Estimated 78-90% illegality rate suggests R$ billions in at-risk timber exports annually; seizure/penalty exposure equals product value + domestic turnover multipliers.

Impostos Anti-Dumping e Tarifas de Importação Aplicadas

EUA: 50% tarifa ad valorem (afeta todas as categorias de produtos de madeira); UE: 6,2% tarifa anti-dumping provisória (CN code 4412 39 00). Estimativa de impacto: R$ 5-15 bilhões em custos adicionais de tarifa por semestre para setor brasileiro

Risco de Substituição Permanente por Fornecedores Alternativos

Risco estimado: 20-40% de churn de clientes por trimestre se negociações não avançarem; potencial perda de R$ 6-12 bilhões em receita anual por substituição de fornecedor

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