🇧🇷Brazil

Erros de Decisão em Seleção de Padrão de Corte por Falta de Dados de Rendimento

3 verified sources

Definition

Source [2] documents: 'The two-sided cant sawing pattern afforded a higher lumber yield than the cant sawing pattern.' Operators lacked ex-ante yield comparison data. Source [3] notes: 'Most sawmills do not adopt a cut pattern model. Instead, they entrust the cutting performance to the experience of the saw operator.' No decision support tool means operators cannot compare pattern options. Typical outcome: 5–15% lower yield than theoretical maximum (Sources [1], [2]).

Key Findings

  • Financial Impact: R$50,000–R$250,000/year per sawmill (loss value of 3–8% forgone lumber yield on annual 10,000 m³ processing at R$200–300/m³)
  • Frequency: Per log processed (continuous)
  • Root Cause: Absence of a priori yield simulation tools; operator experience-based decision-making without quantitative pattern alternatives; no integration of CalcMadeira/MaxiTora into production workflow

Why This Matters

The Pitch: Sawmill decision-makers in Brasil lose R$50,000–R$250,000/year from choosing non-optimized cutting patterns. Real-time simulation software (CalcMadeira) quantifies expected yield per pattern BEFORE sawing, enabling operators to select highest-yield strategy and reduce scrap by 3–8%.

Affected Stakeholders

Operador Principal, Supervisor Serraria, Planejador Produção, Engenheiro Madeira

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Financial Impact

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Methodology & Sources

Data collected via OSINT from regulatory filings, industry audits, and verified case studies.

Evidence Sources:

Related Business Risks

Desperdício de Matéria-Prima por Otimização Inadequada de Rendimento

R$20,000–R$510,000/year per sawmill (depending on scale); equivalent to 2–17% of raw material waste or 5–15% of labor-driven yield variance

Risco de Autuação Fiscal por Discrepância Rendimento vs. Plano de Manejo

R$5,000–R$100,000 per IBAMA/ICMBio audit cycle (typical fine range for forestry management non-compliance); typical audit frequency 1–2 per year for active sawmills

Multa por Madeira Ilegal e Não-Conformidade com Licenças Florestais

HARD: R$28 million (~USD 8 million) in illegal timber exports documented by Interpol in 2015 (Pará State). HARD: USD 13 million penalty paid by Lumber Liquidators (2016). LOGIC: EUDR penalties: minimum 4% of operator annual turnover + product confiscation + temporary import ban.

Fraude em Autorização de Manejo Florestal e Lavagem de Madeira Ilegal

HARD: R$28 million in fraudulently obtained exports detected (Interpol 2016). LOGIC: Estimated 78-90% illegality rate suggests R$ billions in at-risk timber exports annually; seizure/penalty exposure equals product value + domestic turnover multipliers.

Perda de Capacidade Operacional por Tempos Improdutivos no Transporte de Madeira

Quantified: 9.26% capacity loss translates to ~2.3 additional days of lost transport capacity per 25-day operational month per vehicle. At average transport rates of 0.30 R$/m³.km, a typical 25m³-capacity vehicle losing 3+ minutes per 100km trip = R$ 1,500-2,200/month per vehicle; fleet-wide impact: R$ 18,000-26,400/month for 10-vehicle operations.

Supercustos de Transporte por Seleção Inadequada de Composição Veicular

Quantified: Guanhães region overages = 27.14 R$/m³.km vs. optimized 25.0 = 2.14 R$/m³.km excess. At 1,000 m³/month typical harvest = R$ 2,140 monthly loss per remote site. Multi-site operations (3-5 regions) = R$ 6,400-10,700/month aggregate overrun.

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